U.S. stock futures advanced on Thursday, as the Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 indices rose, following Wednesday’s mixed close.
After President Donald Trump declared that the Iran ceasefire was “over,” the U.S. military launched additional strikes on Iran aimed at weakening Tehran’s ability to threaten commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded with strikes against U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.
Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf doubled down on claims about Tehran controlling the Strait of Hormuz and said the U.S. still has not learned that "bullying" and going back on commitments are no longer without consequences.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.56%, and the two-year bond was at 4.19%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool’s projections show markets pricing a 72.7% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged during July’s meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.07% |
| S&P 500 | 0.24% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.68% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.27% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were higher in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was up 0.21% at $747.00, while the QQQ advanced by 0.64% to $716.02.
Materials, real estate, and financial stocks led most S&P 500 sectors lower on Wednesday, while information technology and energy shares bucked the trend to close higher as U.S. markets broadly fell.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | -1.09% | 52,348.39 |
| S&P 500 | -0.28% | 7,482.71 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 0.20% | 25,870.65 |
| Russell 2000 | -0.88% | 2,956.39 |
Wharton Professor Jeremy Siegel maintains a constructive outlook on the U.S. economy and equities, viewing the recent labor data volatility as a mask over a “fundamentally healthy” landscape. Rather than signaling a recession, softer headline payrolls simply indicate a pace “far more consistent with a mature expansion.”
Crucially for monetary policy, Siegel highlights that easing energy and commodity prices, alongside flattening rent growth, are weakening the case for additional Federal Reserve tightening. He notes that “the underlying inflation backdrop is improving,” leading him to predict that the Fed will likely stay on hold for the rest of the year.
For the stock market, Siegel sees impressive resilience beneath “unusually violent” sector rotations driven by artificial intelligence speculation. He remains highly bullish on AI, framing it as “fundamentally a productivity story, not simply a cost-cutting story.”
In his view, early adopters are expanding and becoming more competitive, which will support long-run economic growth. Ultimately, Siegel concludes that with inflation pressures easing and steady labor demand, “the long-term investment case for equities… remains firmly intact.”
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Thursday.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.90% to hover around $72.86 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.92% to hover around $4,115.12 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.05% higher at the 101.0780 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.75% higher at $63,005.36 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed mixed on Thursday, as Australia’s ASX 200 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng indices fell. India’s Nifty 50, South Korea’s Kospi, Japan’s Nikkei 225, and China’s CSI 300 indices rose. European markets were also mixed in early trade.
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