U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, following Monday’s rally. Futures of the major benchmark indices were trading higher.
Investors await the March producer price index data, which is scheduled to be released before the opening bell.
On Monday, Vice President JD Vance hinted at a potential path forward in stalled Iran talks, saying that a diplomatic breakthrough with Iran remains within reach, but only if Tehran agrees to Washington’s core nuclear demands.
If America’s “red lines” are met, then this can be “a very, very good deal for both countries,” Vance said, adding that the next move rests with Iran.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.28%, and the two-year bond was at 3.76%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 99.5% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged in its April meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.13% |
| S&P 500 | 0.19% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.34% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.43% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were higher in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was up 0.20% at $687.47, while the QQQ advanced 0.33% to $619.52.
Information technology, financial, and consumer discretionary equities logged the largest gains Monday as most S&P 500 sectors finished positively, while utilities and consumer staples went against the broader market trend to close lower.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.63% | 48,218.25 |
| S&P 500 | 1.02% | 6,886.24 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 1.23% | 23,183.74 |
| Russell 2000 | 1.52% | 2,670.49 |
Professor Jeremy Siegel maintains a cautious near-term outlook for the U.S. stock market and economy due to the complicating factors of “rising oil prices and a renewed pickup in money growth.”
He warns that recent positive CPI data is backward-looking and does not account for the ongoing energy shock moving through the system.
Consequently, Siegel predicts that higher fuel and fertilizer costs will inflate goods prices in the coming months. Because consumer demand remains firm, there is a risk that “the next move in rates could be up rather than down.”
Regarding equities, Siegel expects that “unless we get a meaningful de-escalation that takes oil decisively lower,” the stock market will remain “mostly rangebound in the near term.”
He currently views the economy as an “awkward mix,” anticipating a sell-off stemming from failed geopolitical talks, followed by a “choppy, sideways market.” However, he maintains his “long-run optimism on equities,” noting that a favorable resolution on the energy front could still push stocks to new highs.
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on this Tuesday.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 2.37% to hover around $96.73 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.92% to hover around $4,783.80 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.11% lower at the 98.2580 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 5.46% higher at $74,624.01 per coin, as per the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed higher on Tuesday, except India’s Nifty 50 index. Hong Kong's Hang Seng, China’s CSI 300, Australia's ASX 200, South Korea's Kospi, and Japan's Nikkei 225 indices rose. European markets were also higher in early trade.
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