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Analyst Expectations For Vistra's Future

Benzinga·02/10/2026 19:00:51
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In the last three months, 9 analysts have published ratings on Vistra (NYSE:VST), offering a diverse range of perspectives from bullish to bearish.

The table below provides a concise overview of recent ratings by analysts, offering insights into the changing sentiments over the past 30 days and drawing comparisons with the preceding months for a holistic perspective.

Bullish Somewhat Bullish Indifferent Somewhat Bearish Bearish
Total Ratings 3 6 0 0 0
Last 30D 1 0 0 0 0
1M Ago 2 3 0 0 0
2M Ago 0 2 0 0 0
3M Ago 0 1 0 0 0

Analysts provide deeper insights through their assessments of 12-month price targets, revealing an average target of $234.11, a high estimate of $293.00, and a low estimate of $203.00. This current average has decreased by 1.48% from the previous average price target of $237.62.

price target chart

Deciphering Analyst Ratings: An In-Depth Analysis

A comprehensive examination of how financial experts perceive Vistra is derived from recent analyst actions. The following is a detailed summary of key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.

Analyst Analyst Firm Action Taken Rating Current Price Target Prior Price Target
Julien Dumoulin-Smith Jefferies Raises Buy $203.00 $191.00
Shahriar Pourreza Wells Fargo Lowers Overweight $236.00 $238.00
William Appicelli UBS Raises Buy $233.00 $230.00
Andrew Weisel Scotiabank Raises Sector Outperform $293.00 $287.00
Julien Dumoulin-Smith B of A Securities Lowers Buy $218.00 $231.00
James Thalacker BMO Capital Raises Outperform $244.00 $230.00
James Thalacker BMO Capital Lowers Outperform $230.00 $245.00
Jeremy Tonet JP Morgan Lowers Overweight $233.00 $249.00
Sophie Karp Keybanc Announces Overweight $217.00 -

Key Insights:

  • Action Taken: Responding to changing market dynamics and company performance, analysts update their recommendations. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise', or 'Lower' their stance, it signifies their response to recent developments related to Vistra. This offers insight into analysts' perspectives on the current state of the company.
  • Rating: Analysts assign qualitative assessments to stocks, ranging from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings convey the analysts' expectations for the relative performance of Vistra compared to the broader market.
  • Price Targets: Delving into movements, analysts provide estimates for the future value of Vistra's stock. This analysis reveals shifts in analysts' expectations over time.

Analyzing these analyst evaluations alongside relevant financial metrics can provide a comprehensive view of Vistra's market position. Stay informed and make data-driven decisions with the assistance of our Ratings Table.

Stay up to date on Vistra analyst ratings.

About Vistra

Vistra Corp. is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the USA. It owns 44 gigawatts of generation capacity, including natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.4 GW). The Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Vistra's retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016.

Breaking Down Vistra's Financial Performance

Market Capitalization Analysis: The company's market capitalization is above the industry average, indicating that it is relatively larger in size compared to peers. This may suggest a higher level of investor confidence and market recognition.

Decline in Revenue: Over the 3M period, Vistra faced challenges, resulting in a decline of approximately -20.94% in revenue growth as of 30 September, 2025. This signifies a reduction in the company's top-line earnings. As compared to competitors, the company encountered difficulties, with a growth rate lower than the average among peers in the Utilities sector.

Net Margin: Vistra's net margin falls below industry averages, indicating challenges in achieving strong profitability. With a net margin of 12.15%, the company may face hurdles in effective cost management.

Return on Equity (ROE): Vistra's ROE surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance. With an impressive 23.77% ROE, the company effectively utilizes shareholder equity capital.

Return on Assets (ROA): The company's ROA is below industry benchmarks, signaling potential difficulties in efficiently utilizing assets. With an ROA of 1.59%, the company may need to address challenges in generating satisfactory returns from its assets.

Debt Management: The company faces challenges in debt management with a debt-to-equity ratio higher than the industry average. With a ratio of 6.4, caution is advised due to increased financial risk.

How Are Analyst Ratings Determined?

Analyst ratings serve as essential indicators of stock performance, provided by experts in banking and financial systems. These specialists diligently analyze company financial statements, participate in conference calls, and engage with insiders to generate quarterly ratings for individual stocks.

Some analysts publish their predictions for metrics such as growth estimates, earnings, and revenue to provide additional guidance with their ratings. When using analyst ratings, it is important to keep in mind that stock and sector analysts are also human and are only offering their opinions to investors.

This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.