U.S. stock futures fell on Friday following Thursday’s mixed close. Futures of major benchmark indices were lower.
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump, during an appearance at the premiere for the film “Melania,” on Thursday, said that he will name his pick for the Federal Reserve Chair on Friday.
Data from Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, shows that over $81.6 million has been bet on the contract "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Warsh is currently leading, with 92% probability that he will be nominated as the next Fed Chair, up by 59%.
The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.26%, and the two-year bond was at 3.56%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing an 84.7% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged in March.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.84% |
| S&P 500 | -0.92% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -1.13% |
| Russell 2000 | -1.51% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were lower in premarket on Friday. The SPY was down 0.82% at $688.32, while the QQQ declined 1.05% to $622.80.
Real estate, communication services, and financial stocks led most of the S&P 500 sectors higher, though consumer discretionary and information technology shares closed lower.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.11% | 49,071.56 |
| S&P 500 | -0.13% | 6,969.01 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.72% | 23,685.12 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.046% | 2,654.78 |
Scott Wren, Senior Global Market Strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, maintains an optimistic outlook for the U.S. economy and stock market in 2026, despite some media narratives suggesting a “sell America” mentality.
He expects the American economy to remain resilient, forecasting a “moderate 2.4% growth rate in the U.S. this year.” This steady growth, combined with moderating inflation, creates what he describes as “a good environment for stocks.”
Regarding the stock market, Wren anticipates a milestone year for corporate performance. He notes that the S&P 500 Index has achieved three straight years of record earnings, and he expects “2026 to be the fourth.” He attributes this continued momentum to several factors:
In summary, Wren expects international investors to “continue to vote with their feet” by investing in U.S. assets due to the nation’s deep, liquid markets and rule of law.
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on Friday.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 1.21% to hover around $64.63 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 6.18% to hover around $5,040.83 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.48% higher at the 96.7450 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 6.28% lower at $82,225.86 per coin.
Asian markets closed lower on Friday, except South Korea's Kospi index. Hong Kong's Hang Seng, China’s CSI 300, Australia's ASX 200, Japan's Nikkei 225, and India’s Nifty 50 indices fell. European markets were mostly higher in early trade.
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