U.S. stock futures are in the red early morning on New Year’s Eve, after markets ended lower on Tuesday, as hopes of a year-end Santa Claus rally begin to fade.
Markets are also jittery following President Donald Trump’s latest threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Monday, threatening to file a lawsuit over what he called “gross incompetence,” while adding that he “still might” fire him, despite only five months remaining in Powell's term.
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Investors on Wednesday will be closely watching the Initial Jobless Claims report, which is set to be released before markets open at 8:30 AM ET. Markets are scheduled to be closed on Thursday in observance of New Year’s Day.
The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.12%, and the two-year bond was at 3.44%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing an 82.8% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged in January.
| Futures | Change (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.13% |
| S&P 500 | -0.26% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.41% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.42% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were lower in premarket on Wednesday. The SPY was down 0.28% at $685.10, while the QQQ declined 0.41% to $616.89, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Consumer discretionary, materials and financials witnessed the biggest losses on Tuesday, while energy, real estate and utilities bucked the trend and ended the day in the green.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.24% | 23,419.08 |
| S&P 500 | -0.14% | 6,896.24 |
| Dow Jones | -0.20% | 48,367.06 |
| Russell 2000 | -0.76% | 2,500.59 |
As we step into the last trading day of the year, analyst Ryan Detrick, the Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, noted in a post on X, that historically, the sixth year of any President’s administration has been the strongest for equities. “Never lower and up nearly 21% on average.”
While Trump is entering the second year of his second term in office, we’re not sure if this can be counted as his sixth year, given the gap between his two terms.
In an earlier post, Detrick said that if the S&P 500 ended lower on Wednesday, it will end the year on a 4-day losing streak, something he said “has only happened twice in history,” 2024 and 1966. The “good news,” he said, is that the markets ended up higher the following years, gaining 20% in 1967 and 17% in 2025.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Wednesday.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.38% to hover around $57.72 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar was down 0.35% to hover around $4,324.59 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $4,550.11 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.15% higher at the 98.380 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading up 0.09% at $88,474 per coin.
Asian markets were mixed on Wednesday, with India’s Nifty 50, SHANGHAI and Thailand’s SETI in the green, while the Hang Seng, Nikkei and South Korea’s KOSPI were in the red. Australia’s ASX 200 and New Zealand’s NZX 50 were flat during the day. European markets are trading mixed in early trade.
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